Summoner Advancement: Saving next week and long term plans

(This post is kept for historical purposes.  We have been hitting at least 41-70% weekly for the past few months.)
I’ll start this post by admitting that I am a nerd and I spend too much time thinking about stupid things like this game.  For the last few months I have been keeping track of our rewards from Summoner Advancement (and Alliance Quests but that will be another post).

I know there was some discussion in the past over whether we got better rewards from opening weekly or saving up and opening them every 2 weeks.  Well, I’ve done the math and I believe it is in our best interest to open weekly assuming the following we can generate enough points each week to qualify for ranked rewards: Based on our current bracket we need to score at least 265k points in each event.  If we don’t hit at least that minimum score we get NO REWARDS AT ALL for summoner advancement.

If you want the details I’ll go into the math below, but for now, we will be saving for the next week.  The reason to do this is that we are now down 4 of our big players (WFPF, Ema, Backup-Agent and Soccerbob) who contributed a lot of our score.  I don’t know what our new average weekly score will be.  We might not have enough points under normal circumstances to hit 265k every week.  By saving one week, and opening the next, I can divide our score by 2 and see if we will hit the weekly minimum.  I will let you all know with another update whether we will be able to hit weekly or need to keep holding every other week until we get more people.

I know some people will open crystals and do some leveling up, but please be reasonable and keep it to a minimum.  Especially don’t open up high point items (like 4 and 5 star crystals).

 

The nerd stuff:

Based on our previous average reward, when opening every 2 weeks we would consistently hit the 6-20% tier and get 450 5-star shards and 425 4-star shards.  This is a total of 3,600 5-star and 3,400 4-star shards over a 16 week period.

In a worst case scenario of opening weekly, if we at least hit the 265k minimum we only qualify for the 71-100% tier.  Here we get only 200 5-star shards but still get 375 4-star shards.  This is a total of 3,200 5-star shards and 6,000 4-star shards.  That is enough for a third of a five star and 3 four crystals.  This is way more 4 star shards than opening every other week, but slightly less 5 star shards.

In an optimal case of opening weekly I assume we could hit the 41-70% tier.  This rewards us with 425 five-star shards and 400 four-star shards.  Over the same 16 week period this totals out to 6,800 five star shards and 6,400 four star shards.  That is two-thirds of a five star crystal and a little more than 3 four star crystals.  This would be our goal.